Virginia AP #16

ACC
10-3
242.3
PASS YDS/G
188.3
RUSH YDS/G
32.2
PTS FOR/G
20.5
PTS AGAINST/G
SP+ Ratings
Bill Connelly's SP+ model ยท 2025
Overall
11.1
#31 Nationally
Offense
28.8
#56 Nationally
Defense
18.1
#19 Nationally
Special Teams
0.5
SP+ Rating
SP+ Trend
5-Year Rating History
7.2
2021
#55
-9.0
2022
#95
-10.8
2023
#105
-5.1
2024
#91
11.1
2025
#31
Recruiting Rankings
2025 Class
#58
195.8 pts
2024 Class
#88
159.7 pts
2023 Class
#64
180.7 pts
2022 Class
#66
166.8 pts
Havoc & Field Position
2025 FBS
Def Havoc Rate
18.1%
Front 7 Havoc
9.4%
DB Havoc
8.7%
Off Field Pos
69.3 yd line
Advanced Stats โ€” Percentile Rankings
vs all 136 FBS teams ยท Garbage time excluded
PERCENTILE:
80โ€“99
60โ€“79
45โ€“59
25โ€“44
1โ€“24
OFFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play
53
0.182
Success Rate
40
41.6%
Explosiveness
68
1.291
Power Success
91
81.1%
Stuff Rate
76
16.1%
Line Yards / Carry
61
3.04
2nd Level Yards
24
0.98
Open Field Yards
48
1.18
Rush EPA / Play
78
0.192
Pass EPA / Play
44
0.236
Rush Success Rate
54
43.8%
Pass Success Rate
42
40.9%
Rush Explosiveness
77
1.06
Pass Explosiveness
46
1.543
DEFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play Allowed
88
0.061
Success Rate Allowed
85
37.4%
Explosiveness Allowed
74
1.191
Power Success Allowed
46
71.4%
Stuff Rate
50
19.0%
Line Yards Allowed
69
2.75
2nd Level Yds Allowed
88
0.84
Open Field Yds Allowed
81
0.88
Rush EPA Allowed
76
0.039
Pass EPA Allowed
82
0.146
Rush Success Allowed
78
38.9%
Pass Success Allowed
84
36.9%
Rush Explosiveness Allowed
66
0.918
Pass Explosiveness Allowed
68
1.49
Stats Glossary
SP+
Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency metric. Combines offense, defense, and special teams into a single predictive rating. Higher is better.
EPA / Play
Expected Points Added per play. Measures how much a team moves the needle toward scoring relative to what's expected given down, distance, and field position. The single best measure of efficiency.
Success Rate
The percentage of plays deemed "successful" โ€” gaining 50% of yards needed on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, or 100% on 3rd/4th. Measures consistency.
Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful plays only. Measures the ability to create big gains when things go right. High explosiveness with high success rate = elite offense.
Power Success
Percentage of short-yardage situations (2nd/3rd/4th and โ‰ค2 yards) converted. Measures ability to win in the trenches.
Stuff Rate
Percentage of rush attempts stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage. High offensive stuff rate = bad O-line. High defensive stuff rate = dominant D-line.
Line Yards / Carry
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line (first 5 yards). Isolates O-line performance from the running back's contribution.
2nd Level Yards
Rushing yards gained 5โ€“10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yards where linebackers have primary responsibility.
Open Field Yards
Rushing yards gained beyond 10 yards. Largely a function of the running back's speed and elusiveness in space.
Rush / Pass EPA
EPA per play broken down by run vs pass. Helps identify whether a team's success comes from the ground or through the air.
Rush / Pass Success Rate
Success rate broken down by run vs pass. Shows whether a team is consistently effective in each phase.
Rush / Pass Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful rush or pass plays only. Identifies big-play threats in each phase of the offense.
#79
Adair
LT
#52
Boley
LG
#73
Brubaker
C
#75
Curry
RG
#65
Ellinger
RT
#7
Edrine
WR1
#โ€”
Ennis
TE
#6
Ross
WR2
#4
Morris
QB
#3
Taylor
RB
Passing Leaders
Rk Player Cmp Att Yds โ†“ TD INT Pct Y/A
01 257 398 2802 16 9 64.6% 7.0
02
D
Daniel Kaelin
30 52 339 1 1 57.7% 6.5
03 2 2 8 0 0 100.0% 4.0
04
J
J'mari Taylor
1 1 1 1 0 100.0% 1.0
Rushing Leaders
Rk Player Att Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01
J
J'mari Taylor
โ€” 1062 4.8 14 78
02 โ€” 488 5.0 5 97
03 โ€” 245 4.2 5 42
04 โ€” 241 4.7 1 20
05 โ€” 174 7.6 0 54
06
D
Daniel Kaelin
โ€” 72 6.0 0 54
07 โ€” 45 4.1 0 7
08 โ€” 38 9.5 1 23
09
D
Davis Lane
โ€” 37 4.6 0 11
10
C
Cameron Ross
โ€” 19 19.0 1 19
11 โ€” 15 7.5 0 12
12 โ€” 5 5.0 0 5
13 โ€” 4 2.0 0 3
14
E
Eli Wood
โ€” 3 3.0 1 3
Receiving Leaders
Rk Player Rec Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01
T
Trell Harris
59 847 14.4 5 75
02 42 526 12.5 1 37
03
C
Cameron Ross
48 518 10.8 2 46
04
J
J'mari Taylor
43 253 5.9 1 25
05 24 231 9.6 0 34
06 18 179 9.9 5 25
07
E
Eli Wood
12 134 11.2 2 38
08 11 129 11.7 0 26
09 7 91 13.0 1 26
10 2 62 31.0 0 56
11 3 39 13.0 0 16
12 5 36 7.2 1 15
13
T
Tylyric Coleman
2 29 14.5 0 23
14 6 27 4.5 0 7
15 2 24 12.0 0 15
16 3 9 3.0 0 6
17 2 9 4.5 0 11
18
A
Andre Greene Jr.
1 7 7.0 0 7
Defensive Leaders
Rk Player Solo Ast Tot โ†“ TFL Sacks Int PD
01 35 โ€” 77 1 0 โ€” 6
02
K
Kamren Robinson
20 โ€” 64 4 2 โ€” 1
03 23 โ€” 62 1 0 โ€” 3
04 17 โ€” 49 2 1 โ€” 1
05 23 โ€” 47 4 0 โ€” 3
06 16 โ€” 43 9 4 โ€” 3
07 19 โ€” 43 0 0 โ€” 6
08 18 โ€” 40 5 3 โ€” 4
09 20 โ€” 38 1 0 โ€” โ€”
10 16 โ€” 35 8 7 โ€” 1
11 7 โ€” 32 6 3 โ€” โ€”
12 1 โ€” 30 1 0 โ€” โ€”
13 10 โ€” 30 3 2 โ€” โ€”
14 7 โ€” 30 0 0 โ€” โ€”
15 18 โ€” 29 1 0 โ€” 6
16 13 โ€” 28 2 0 โ€” 4
17
J
Ja'Son Prevard
11 โ€” 24 1 0 โ€” 5
18 11 โ€” 24 1 0 โ€” 3
19
E
Emmanuel Karnley
18 โ€” 23 2 0 โ€” 7
20 9 โ€” 20 0 0 โ€” โ€”
21 7 โ€” 18 3 3 โ€” 1
22
H
Hunter Osborne
4 โ€” 16 2 1 โ€” โ€”
23 5 โ€” 15 0 0 โ€” โ€”
24 4 โ€” 11 1 1 โ€” โ€”
25 1 โ€” 8 0 0 โ€” โ€”
26
E
Eli Wood
5 โ€” 6 0 0 โ€” โ€”
27 2 โ€” 6 0 0 โ€” 1
28
D
Da'Marcus Crosby
2 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
29 2 โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
30
T
Terrell Jones
โ€” โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
31 1 โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
32 โ€” โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
33 2 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
34 1 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
35
D
Davis Lane
โ€” โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
36 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
37 โ€” โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
38 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” 1
39 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
40 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
41 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
42
J
J'mari Taylor
1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
43 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
44 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” 1
45 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
46 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
47 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
48 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
49 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
50 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
51 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
52 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
Kicking
Player FGM FGA Pct Long
22 27 81.5% 47
Punting
Player No Yds Avg Long
35 1663 47.5 65
11 508 46.2 71
Offense
66 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
Cole Geer #16
QB 6'1" 205 lbs Fr
QB 6'4" 225 lbs So
QB 6'1" 203 lbs So
QB 6'0" 192 lbs Sr
QB 6'2" 212 lbs Sr
RB 5'10" 205 lbs So
RB 5'10" 198 lbs Sr
Xay Davis #25
RB 5'10" 193 lbs Fr
RB 5'6" 180 lbs Sr
RB 6'1" 212 lbs So
RB 5'10" 196 lbs So
RB 5'9" 204 lbs Sr
RB 5'9" 199 lbs Jr
RB 5'10" 212 lbs Sr
WR 5'10" 186 lbs Fr
WR 6'2" 194 lbs Jr
WR 5'11" 193 lbs So
WR 5'10" 175 lbs Jr
WR 6'3" 221 lbs Sr
WR 6'2" 205 lbs So
WR 5'11" 195 lbs Jr
WR 5'10" 184 lbs Jr
WR 6'2" 235 lbs So
WR 6'0" 210 lbs Fr
WR 6'2" 185 lbs Fr
WR 5'10" 186 lbs Sr
WR 6'2" 220 lbs Sr
WR 6'1" 192 lbs So
TE 6'6" 250 lbs So
TE 6'4" 245 lbs Sr
TE 6'2" 240 lbs Jr
TE 6'3" 247 lbs So
TE 6'4" 235 lbs So
TE 6'3" 245 lbs Jr
TE 6'5" 235 lbs Fr
TE 6'5" 245 lbs Sr
TE 6'4" 245 lbs Sr
TE 6'7" 242 lbs Sr
TE 6'4" 237 lbs Fr
Jon Adair #79
OL 6'5" 280 lbs Fr
OL 6'5" 316 lbs Sr
OL 6'5" 313 lbs Jr
OL 6'5" 280 lbs Sr
OL 6'4" 290 lbs So
OL 6'5" 294 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 319 lbs Sr
OL 6'5" 310 lbs Sr
OL 6'4" 275 lbs Jr
OL 6'2" 300 lbs Sr
OL 6'7" 320 lbs Sr
OL 6'5" 305 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 290 lbs Fr
OL 6'6" 265 lbs So
OL 6'1" 285 lbs So
OL 6'5" 325 lbs Sr
OL 6'4" 308 lbs Jr
OL 6'5" 310 lbs Jr
OL 6'3" 315 lbs Sr
OL 6'6" 335 lbs Sr
OL 6'5" 335 lbs Sr
OL 6'2" 298 lbs Sr
OL 6'7" 306 lbs Sr
OL 6'6" 295 lbs So
OL 6'6" 301 lbs Sr
OL 6'4" 308 lbs Sr
Ben York #72
OL 6'5" 305 lbs So
Defense
61 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
EDGE 6'6" 247 lbs So
DE 6'4" 245 lbs Jr
DE 6'7" 248 lbs Sr
DE 6'4" 233 lbs So
DE 6'4" 283 lbs Sr
DE 6'8" 255 lbs So
DE 6'4" 252 lbs Sr
DE 6'4" 248 lbs So
DE 6'4" 239 lbs Jr
Evan Ward #44
DE 6'5" 220 lbs Fr
DT 6'2" 290 lbs So
DT 6'3" 317 lbs Jr
DL 6'4" 295 lbs Sr
DT 6'2" 295 lbs Jr
DL 6'2" 290 lbs Sr
DT 6'3" 322 lbs Fr
DL 6'2" 232 lbs Sr
DL 6'3" 266 lbs So
DL 6'3" 318 lbs Sr
LB 6'5" 240 lbs So
LB 6'3" 220 lbs So
LB 6'3" 233 lbs So
LB 6'3" 222 lbs Jr
LB 6'3" 235 lbs Jr
LB 6'3" 234 lbs Sr
Rob Keys #40
LB 6'3" 224 lbs Jr
LB 6'0" 222 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 228 lbs Jr
LB 6'4" 235 lbs Sr
LB 6'3" 220 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 234 lbs Jr
LB 6'2" 210 lbs Fr
CB 5'11" 183 lbs Fr
CB 6'0" 180 lbs So
CB 5'11" 179 lbs Sr
CB 6'2" 191 lbs Sr
CB 5'9" 198 lbs Sr
CB 5'11" 170 lbs Fr
CB 6'2" 185 lbs So
CJ Spence #29
CB 6'4" 190 lbs Fr
S 6'0" 192 lbs So
S 5'11" 205 lbs Jr
DB 6'1" 200 lbs Sr
S 6'0" 204 lbs Sr
S 6'1" 201 lbs Fr
DB 6'2" 193 lbs Sr
S 6'0" 202 lbs Sr
S 5'11" 195 lbs Sr
S 6'4" 215 lbs Jr
DB 5'11" 198 lbs Sr
DB 6'0" 200 lbs Jr
DB 6'1" 181 lbs Sr
S 6'1" 195 lbs So
S 6'1" 199 lbs So
S 6'0" 201 lbs So
DB 6'3" 205 lbs Sr
DB 5'11" 204 lbs Sr
DB 6'2" 199 lbs Jr
DB 6'4" 210 lbs Sr
DB 6'0" 180 lbs Fr
S 6'2" 187 lbs Fr
Special Teams
4 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
P 6'6" 239 lbs Jr
P 6'6" 217 lbs Sr
LS 6'7" 265 lbs Sr
LS 6'1" 215 lbs Fr